Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.029579 0.031872 0.034271 0.036971 0.039929 0.043075 0.046679
2025-02-16 0.025726 0.028963 0.032530 0.036767 0.041680 0.047218 0.053962
2025-02-23 0.023064 0.026823 0.031130 0.036458 0.042912 0.050526 0.060260
2025-03-02 0.021227 0.025340 0.030204 0.036426 0.044241 0.053820 0.066585
2025-03-09 0.019538 0.023832 0.029044 0.035903 0.044785 0.056035 0.071576
2025-03-16 0.018055 0.022434 0.027871 0.035201 0.044953 0.057667 0.075803
2025-03-23 0.016941 0.021406 0.027063 0.034863 0.045501 0.059749 0.080699
2025-03-30 0.015976 0.020494 0.026327 0.034534 0.045987 0.061715 0.085505
2025-04-06 0.014992 0.019492 0.025397 0.033857 0.045909 0.062839 0.089118
2025-04-13 0.014485 0.019092 0.025242 0.034220 0.047284 0.066077 0.096056
2025-04-20 0.013898 0.018547 0.024846 0.034202 0.048084 0.068494 0.101889
2025-04-27 0.013502 0.018239 0.024757 0.034604 0.049504 0.071899 0.109500
2025-05-04 0.012891 0.017604 0.024178 0.034261 0.049793 0.073609 0.114555
2025-05-11 0.012381 0.017089 0.023742 0.034104 0.050346 0.075753 0.120484
2025-05-18 0.011876 0.016555 0.023251 0.033827 0.050682 0.077552 0.125946
2025-05-25 0.011477 0.016158 0.022938 0.033799 0.051398 0.079997 0.132707
2025-06-01 0.010987 0.015601 0.022359 0.033321 0.051346 0.081141 0.137211
2025-06-08 0.010488 0.015011 0.021701 0.032679 0.050979 0.081713 0.140684
2025-06-15 0.010103 0.014578 0.021266 0.032370 0.051142 0.083196 0.145964
2025-06-22 0.009745 0.014171 0.020851 0.032069 0.051296 0.084658 0.151302
2025-06-29 0.009333 0.013666 0.020261 0.031449 0.050859 0.085024 0.154503
2025-07-06 0.009162 0.013527 0.020244 0.031781 0.052098 0.088504 0.164213
2025-07-13 0.008922 0.013272 0.020029 0.031764 0.052712 0.090858 0.171814